Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 8% | $4.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $2.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | Aurora Gaming 19% · Liquid 82% | $546k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| KingVon1 | Up | $283.51 |
| Vigilant-Cruelty-Payment | Up | $140.63 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $127.66 |
| qXvRmKzTpWnLhBfJ | Up | $52.82 |
| ouyangfeng123 | Up | $47.22 |
| daidiz-yu | Up | $46.66 |
| 0x89b4… | Up | $41.84 |
| johnnyjoh | Down | $28.33 |
| sfkjbsr457 | Up | $28.27 |
| 0xab96… | Up | $27.67 |
| 0x3761… | Up | $26.71 |
| lyfanshen | Up | $25.73 |
253 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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