Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $45k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.2M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | FURIA 56% · FaZe 44% | $926k |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 46% · Team Falcons 55% | $921k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| godprey | Down | $1k |
| Midtermboy | Down | $358.72 |
| 0xdd1c… | Down | $256.32 |
| 0xb051… | Down | $193.64 |
| micro-insight | Down | $192.79 |
| casaverde | Down | $182.87 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $160.36 |
| RCC1985 | Down | $140.98 |
| sfkjbsr457 | Down | $132.97 |
| Flummoxing | Down | $124.44 |
| 0x71f7… | Down | $98 |
| ouyangfeng123 | Down | $95.88 |
490 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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