Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 24% | $3.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.5M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherot | Novak Djokovic 87% · Valentin Vacherot 13% | $1.1M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $980k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hdueilqhsdn | Up | $187.25 |
| 0xf1da… | Up | $164.96 |
| predict008 | Up | $154.22 |
| Jamel129 | Up | $128.31 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $125.99 |
| LIlisaxy | Up | $78.73 |
| kaipolis | Up | $76.31 |
| windopowl | Up | $72.53 |
| 0xe5d4… | Up | $57.82 |
| alveron24 | Up | $40.10 |
| 0x2792… | Up | $38.40 |
| sfkjbsr457 | Up | $37.90 |
461 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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