Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $36k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 67% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 11% · AEK 7% | $5.2M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 64% · Fenerbahçe SK 17% | $1.0M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $777k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz | Alex Molcan 44% · Taylor Fritz 56% | $695k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| drew112d | Down | $256.65 |
| J.COLE | Down | $203.80 |
| Bigdog2025 | Down | $139.39 |
| pspspsps5 | Down | $94.87 |
| renford18 | Down | $70.73 |
| OhioAI | Down | $68.99 |
| 0x0c21… | Down | $65.24 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $63.50 |
| Technerd007 | Down | $61.30 |
| BobbyBrant | Down | $59.49 |
| Troubled-Fishmonger | Down | $53.18 |
| 0x0dcf… | Up | $49.72 |
504 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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