Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 20% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.2M |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 23% · FURIA 77% | $680k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $640k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $632k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $595k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $501k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| santiagoduhne | Down | $678.61 |
| 0x5d68… | Down | $360.56 |
| Archyazur | Down | $185.55 |
| 07102026 | Down | $141.90 |
| KARIZMATIKU | Down | $132.86 |
| k4zzat-bro | Down | $121.87 |
| 659lij | Down | $100 |
| 0xec46… | Down | $92.69 |
| Parmena | Down | $90.02 |
| drew112d | Down | $68.18 |
| earlywise | Down | $66.63 |
| 0xf72f… | Down | $65.59 |
616 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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