Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 65¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 99% · Mike Rogers (R) 1% | $4.4M |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 64% · Scott Colom (D) 36% | $1.8M |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Heroic 8% · Team Falcons 92% | $1.4M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Byron Donalds 1% · Sarah Huckabee Sanders 0% · John McEntee 0% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 4% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76% · No change 24% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $1.0M |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $850k |
| Alaska Senate Election Winner | Mary Peltola (D) 94% · Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 6% | $748k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2766… | Down | $621.68 |
| 0x14dc… | Down | $185.80 |
| 0x93a8… | Down | $136.33 |
| nememmememe | Down | $113.18 |
| 0xb64a… | Down | $109.09 |
| 0xst33zy | Down | $105.13 |
| 0x1828… | Down | $96.90 |
| 0xf72f… | Down | $78 |
| OhioAI | Down | $70.01 |
| earlywise | Down | $64.49 |
| 0x1ef0… | Down | $61.01 |
| Mikayel- | Down | $56.75 |
574 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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