Up won. Smart money backed Down (6 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 11% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.6M |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Gen.G 99% · LYON 1% | $2.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Gen.G 85% · LYON 16% | $963k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $778k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $703k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| drew112d | Up | $269.55 |
| Bestpredict0101 | Up | $93.91 |
| Technerd007 | Up | $65.85 |
| 0xad7a… | Up | $59.76 |
| Mimi37 | Down | $44.61 |
| 0xeb49… | Up | $42.60 |
| BrickThrower | Up | $39.48 |
| lsz111 | Up | $37.05 |
| Alex698 | Up | $31.11 |
| 0x19fc… | Up | $28.35 |
| 0xca5f… | Up | $28.24 |
| izzy117 | Up | $27.16 |
530 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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