Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $66k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 25% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $1.7M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 54% · FURIA 46% | $1.2M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 47% · Team Falcons 53% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $946k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $736k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x568b… | Up | $583.96 |
| zishuo | Up | $342.61 |
| hurrican | Up | $295.03 |
| jucalja1490 | Up | $186.68 |
| Max3 | Up | $146.83 |
| EgonCholakian77 | Up | $143.94 |
| y8ke03 | Up | $127.19 |
| moon-k58-lad | Up | $124 |
| 0x6d00… | Up | $106.52 |
| letitbegin | Up | $100.23 |
| 0x42c6… | Up | $84.68 |
| 0x759d… | Up | $76.61 |
760 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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