Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 75¢) and lost. Volume $59k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 78% · Ravens 23% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $993k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 48% · Suns 53% | $648k |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) | Jaguars 48% · Ravens 53% | $643k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $605k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 41% · Heat 60% | $569k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x4c81… | Down | $1k |
| HeHeardANoise | Down | $1k |
| Vigilant-Cruelty-Payment | Down | $370.74 |
| Triggerismad | Down | $362.86 |
| Xf5BB44d0D51C6A04B8E29 | Down | $177.45 |
| 203aaa | Down | $135.16 |
| 0x0721… | Down | $105.66 |
| sunnysonny | Down | $93.00 |
| Troubled-Fishmonger | Down | $88.15 |
| 0xc142… | Down | $71.10 |
| aprf | Up | $66.43 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $61.60 |
668 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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