Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 35¢) and lost. Volume $40k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Jon Ossoff 19% · James Talarico 2% | $684k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 17% · Carlos Alcaraz 83% | $642k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 32% | $465k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 18% · T1 83% | $412k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $400k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 36% | $367k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| lkojihfafaf | Up | $557.97 |
| WinLogic | Up | $282.37 |
| 0xb478… | Up | $160.39 |
| Lequidity | Up | $110.48 |
| 0x030b… | Up | $93.88 |
| 0x637f… | Up | $80.20 |
| nememmememe | Down | $68.35 |
| 0x91b6… | Up | $61.24 |
| felching | Up | $59.17 |
| 0x9845… | Up | $50.77 |
| 0x9fd8… | Up | $48 |
| felching | Down | $43.13 |
589 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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