Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $1.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 7% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $676k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $649k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata | Novak Djokovic 1% · Rinky Hijikata 100% | $642k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| thantii | Up | $363.42 |
| boppbop | Up | $161.60 |
| wegame | Up | $139.13 |
| 0xf332… | Up | $114.91 |
| newera17 | Up | $62.43 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $49.92 |
| emmeticket | Up | $44.63 |
| Jiae | Up | $42.62 |
| feige11 | Up | $40.80 |
| Papeasy | Up | $39.22 |
| 0xf4d8… | Up | $39.01 |
| kaleckian.accelerator | Up | $38.76 |
432 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.8k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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