Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
casaverde took +$358 on Down from 39¢; the biggest loser gave up $214.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 10% · Gen.G 91% | $2.2M |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 56% · Bilibili Gaming 23% · T1 17% | $822k |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) | Nuggets 90% · Pacers 10% | $658k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $612k |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) | Gen.G 53% · Invictus Gaming 48% | $584k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 97% · Labour Party 2% | $519k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · James Talarico 1% | $482k |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 20% · Arsenal 14% · Manchester City 6% | $413k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| casaverde | Down | $357.68 |
| ar0ghost | Down | $241.98 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $171.66 |
| metallica222 | Down | $125.48 |
| 0xf0d0… | Down | $119.78 |
| 0x8590… | Down | $84.20 |
| Huwei37383 | Down | $76.11 |
| lyfanshen | Down | $72.20 |
| lossx | Down | $58.73 |
| hungry-bear | Down | $56.37 |
| PBot-2 | Down | $56.10 |
| 12we12 | Down | $52.98 |
448 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.5k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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