Eastern Illinois won. Smart money backed Tennessee-Martin (1 ranked wallet, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $743. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $42; the 7 biggest losers gave up $23. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $651k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $565k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $460k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $455k |
| Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · Draw (Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF) 12% | $445k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Calmaestonks | Eastern Illinois | $26.24 |
| 0x1bc3… | Eastern Illinois | $5 |
| alpheclabs2 | Eastern Illinois | $5 |
| moneyline7 | Eastern Illinois | $3.00 |
| growzizi | Eastern Illinois | $1.80 |
| 0xea2e… | Eastern Illinois | $0.53 |
| 0x3c82… | Tennessee-Martin | −$5.33 |
| 0x44d3… | Tennessee-Martin | −$5 |
| 0xbe9f… | Tennessee-Martin | −$3.20 |
| 0xc54d… | Tennessee-Martin | −$3 |
| ceteris-paribus | Tennessee-Martin | −$3 |
| 0xff0d… | Tennessee-Martin | −$1.92 |