UNLV won. Smart money backed Northern Illinois (8 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $202k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $10.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $6.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $4.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.8M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | Manchester United FC 89% · AS Roma 67% · Draw (Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma) 10% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.9M |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München | FC Bayern München 100% · Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München) 1% | $1.6M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xb4f9… | UNLV | $5k |
| cm2897 | UNLV | $2k |
| 0xfacf… | Northern Illinois | $1k |
| uniform.cougar01 | UNLV | $691 |
| a17367162806 | UNLV | $379.75 |
| 0x481a… | UNLV | $379.42 |
| doc0505 | UNLV | $314.95 |
| 0x9b55… | UNLV | $260.19 |
| Jamesgambles2003 | UNLV | $211.26 |
| evanng | UNLV | $155.21 |
| gagarin59 | UNLV | $130.69 |
| timurdrevoz | UNLV | $111.21 |
168 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 54 biggest losers gave up $14k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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