G2 Minnesota won. Smart money backed Vancouver Surge (5 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $1.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $1.5M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz | Taylor Fritz 27% · Carlos Alcaraz 74% | $603k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $436k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Glenn Youngkin 0% · Nikki Haley 0% | $431k |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Karmine Corp 17% · T1 83% | $401k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $399k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | T1 35% · Karmine Corp 66% | $372k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| water47 | G2 Minnesota | $6.00 |
| chushengmeixi | G2 Minnesota | $2.75 |
| 0xb8b9… | G2 Minnesota | $1.65 |
| 0xfc7e… | Vancouver Surge | −$15.50 |
| Quentin62 | Vancouver Surge | −$10.20 |
| 0x07CD | Vancouver Surge | −$3.27 |
| Stunin | Vancouver Surge | −$2.04 |
| chushengmeixi | Vancouver Surge | −$1.50 |
| letshope | Vancouver Surge | −$1.13 |
| 0xa009… | Vancouver Surge | −$1.11 |
| 0xe293… | Vancouver Surge | −$1.02 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 3 biggest winners took $10; the 8 biggest losers gave up $36. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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