Scotland won. Smart money backed United Arab Emirates (1 ranked wallet, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $1.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 94% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $624k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 16% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $588k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $503k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $495k |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 19% · Galatasaray 0% | $402k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| meet | Scotland | $16.81 |
| SATHISHRKO | Scotland | $16.17 |
| robert-mukhametov | Scotland | $11.56 |
| berlinskies | Scotland | $4.17 |
| Sur345 | Scotland | $3.51 |
| Lamrinus | United Arab Emirates | −$27.45 |
| 0xac1d… | United Arab Emirates | −$2 |
| 0x1618… | United Arab Emirates | −$1 |
| 0x3411… | United Arab Emirates | −$1 |
| 0xaf67… | United Arab Emirates | −$1.00 |
10 wallets held a position at the close. The 5 biggest winners took $52; the 5 biggest losers gave up $32. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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