Kathmandu Gurkhas won. Smart money backed Chitwan Rhinos (10 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $42k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
alpheclabs took +$2.1k on Kathmandu Gurkhas from 46¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.9k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 89% · 50+ bps increase 8% · No change 3% | $2.3M |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Spirit 76% · MOUZ 25% | $1.1M |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $812k |
| Next CEO of NVIDIA? | Rene Haas 26% · Ian Buck 19% · Colette Kress 10% | $606k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · David Lisnard 18% · Édouard Philippe 5% | $575k |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | FURIA 52% · Team Falcons 49% | $553k |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Bilibili Gaming 38% · Gen.G 63% | $447k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Josh Shapiro 6% · Chris Van Hollen 1% | $408k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| alpheclabs | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $2k |
| RzUSr | Chitwan Rhinos | $352.96 |
| pagliacci4 | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $275.55 |
| webet8888 | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $200.45 |
| shubhamgandhi | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $130.68 |
| clayploy | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $102.57 |
| rocketman123 | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $101.54 |
| 7figtc | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $92.80 |
| Mindexplorer | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $85.00 |
| k-maniac | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $76.57 |
| evi12 | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $62.70 |
| aliiiii | Kathmandu Gurkhas | $48.81 |
136 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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