India won. Smart money backed New Zealand (11 ranked wallets, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 7% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 63% · Fenerbahçe SK 18% | $777k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $722k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $651k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| DrillBabyDrill-730 | India | $12k |
| Sarojauuu | India | $8k |
| Bachkrahna | India | $4k |
| Gamblerrrrrrr | India | $3k |
| Warriorsway | India | $2k |
| renzent | India | $2k |
| R0ndog | India | $2k |
| Professor-.-. | India | $1k |
| 0x0b88… | India | $989.42 |
| 0x1d3d… | India | $898.94 |
| lawdenbhojyam | India | $787.20 |
| vsport62 | India | $785.34 |
2,071 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $49k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $60k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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