New Zealand won. Smart money backed India (11 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢) and lost. Volume $256k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Axis54 took +$7.3k on New Zealand from 57¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.7k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 4% | $796k |
| Helsinki: Oskari Paldanius vs Svyatoslav Gulin | Oskari Paldanius 24% · Svyatoslav Gulin 77% | $494k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 41% · Oregon Ducks 60% | $475k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · Édouard Philippe 7% · Teddy Riner 2% | $426k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $406k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% · Gavin Newsom 10% | $389k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $385k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 28% · No 72% | $358k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Axis54 | New Zealand | $7k |
| LordKrishna11 | New Zealand | $6k |
| JayMaAshavari | New Zealand | $5k |
| 0xd8ef… | New Zealand | $4k |
| Chanchu | New Zealand | $2k |
| JokerTheClown | New Zealand | $2k |
| Crex-cric | New Zealand | $1k |
| thedavenport | New Zealand | $1k |
| blket | New Zealand | $1k |
| Jayjay2029 | New Zealand | $888.22 |
| Yatharthkher2 | New Zealand | $850.73 |
| Rohit.0606 | New Zealand | $814.24 |
373 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $41k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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