Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $58. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 5% | $11.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 5% | $6.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 75% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $5.8M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 25% | $4.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.5M |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart | Galatasaray SK 97% · VfB Stuttgart 0% | $1.5M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 63% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| johncashi | Down | −$2.96 |
| 0xc7eb… | Down | −$2.58 |
| 0x0de8… | Down | −$2.20 |
3 wallets held a position at the close. The 0 biggest winners took $0; the 3 biggest losers gave up $8. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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