Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢) and lost. Volume $362k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 280-299 43% · 300-319 32% · 320-339 12% | $426k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 260-279 15% · 240-259 15% · 220-239 14% | $154k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 94% · Avengers: Doomsday 6% | $47k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? | 90-114 22% · 40-64 21% · 115-139 7% | $35k |
| Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 67% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35% | $27k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 65% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 36% | $18k |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 64% · Avengers: Doomsday 37% | $16k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026? | 280-299 13% · 340-359 9% · 320-339 7% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| patouossa | Yes | $2k |
| startrader | Yes | $2k |
| Solitude26 | Yes | $968.16 |
| Elonboy | Yes | $940.31 |
| Pavolko342 | Yes | $788.82 |
| 0xe83c… | Yes | $757.89 |
| Ibrahimboufleur | Yes | $697.20 |
| 0x5393… | Yes | $523.03 |
| 0x5734… | Yes | $506.27 |
| yolol | Yes | $449.30 |
| Akang | Yes | $371.10 |
| manuelarias | Yes | $364.48 |
176 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $15k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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