No won. Smart money backed Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
AndreaPirlo took +$111 on No from 97¢; the biggest loser gave up $51.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026? | 260-279 27% · 280-299 25% · 240-259 19% | $213k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026? | 90-114 48% · 65-89 34% · 115-139 15% | $128k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026? | 280-299 14% · 320-339 14% · 300-319 14% | $106k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Robert Pattinson 46% · Callum Turner 21% · Jack Lowden 18% | $44k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $33k |
| # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? | 35-40M 54% · 40-45M 41% · 45-50M 1% | $32k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026? | 240-259 14% · 220-239 13% · 280-299 11% | $31k |
| "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office | 16m-19m 74% · 19m-22m 23% · <16m 1% | $26k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| AndreaPirlo | No | $111.42 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $36.35 |
| bipbipbop | No | $22.68 |
| 0x4caa… | No | $3.78 |
| SpreadCtrl | No | $3.68 |
| 0xc948… | No | $3.67 |
| nijikaijichi | No | $3.52 |
| haveagoodday | No | $3.50 |
| Bigggggggg | No | $3.19 |
| hetacz | No | $3.16 |
| AlyincePeng | No | $2.72 |
| alex20011 | No | $2.50 |
90 wallets held a position at the close. The 41 biggest winners took $235; the 49 biggest losers gave up $407. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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