No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $237k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 took +$2.0k on No from 78¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.1k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026? | 260-279 27% · 280-299 25% · 240-259 20% | $206k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026? | 90-114 48% · 65-89 32% · 115-139 16% | $129k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026? | 320-339 14% · 280-299 14% · 300-319 14% | $104k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Robert Pattinson 46% · Callum Turner 20% · Jack Lowden 17% | $44k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 17 - November 24, 2026? | 240-259 14% · 220-239 13% · 280-299 11% | $33k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $33k |
| "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office | 16m-19m 74% · 19m-22m 27% · 22m-25m 1% | $23k |
| # of views of next MrBeast video on day 1? | 35-40M 79% · 40-45M 18% | $19k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $2k |
| YuzuLemon | No | $648.03 |
| 0x7acd… | Yes | $486.88 |
| angelcynn | Yes | $447.00 |
| Romeo005 | Yes | $309.55 |
| 2B9S | No | $298.56 |
| ihrekunst | Yes | $245.49 |
| GJLCS | No | $213.16 |
| deferredgratification | No | $167.16 |
| srilakshmi | No | $166.51 |
| hetacz | No | $151.26 |
| weather-alpha.con | No | $141.68 |
472 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $7.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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