No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $130k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 380-399 18% · 420-439 18% · 400-419 17% | $311k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 47% · 65-89 24% · 115-139 20% | $217k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 380-399 12% · 360-379 12% · 340-359 11% | $146k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 36% · Callum Turner 25% · No Bond chosen 11% | $54k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 17% · 40-64 7% · 240+ 2% | $9k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 14% · 340-359 12% · 280-299 8% | $8k |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $7k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 22% · 43m+ 8% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BigMackyG | No | $2k |
| zion303 | Yes | $423.36 |
| yangleduoduo | Yes | $116.83 |
| Elonboy | No | $114.54 |
| 0x3d63… | No | $112.29 |
| asdfdd123 | No | $91.82 |
| Leclerc04 | No | $86.62 |
| 0xc44a… | Yes | $74.50 |
| asdfasdf111 | No | $73.97 |
| asdfsadfddd | No | $73.18 |
| asdfdd918 | No | $70.73 |
| asdf112d | No | $68.72 |
262 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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