No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $215k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 400-419 33% · 380-399 22% · 420-439 17% | $311k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 340-359 13% · 360-379 13% · 380-399 12% | $131k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 87% · 115-139 14% · 140-164 1% | $116k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 42% · Callum Turner 28% · No Bond chosen 15% | $54k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 96% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $37k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 19% · 165-189 8% · <40 1% | $16k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 340-359 14% · 320-339 13% · 420-439 7% | $10k |
| "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office | 105m+ 73% · <65m 1% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xf14e… | No | $986.66 |
| 0120346 | No | $471.16 |
| InsideR5 | Yes | $216.34 |
| force22 | No | $165.85 |
| touxie | No | $136.02 |
| ElonJail | Yes | $129.36 |
| elonplstweets | Yes | $126.38 |
| YuzuLemon | No | $122.59 |
| WaHoooo | No | $96.73 |
| triple-purple | Yes | $74.66 |
| random123123123123123 | No | $72.24 |
| exboyfriendjustsentit | No | $71.60 |
318 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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