Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $188k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 420-439 21% · 400-419 18% · 440-459 16% | $269k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026? | 90-114 51% · 115-139 24% · 65-89 19% | $221k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 360-379 12% · 380-399 12% · 400-419 11% | $152k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 42% · Callum Turner 26% · No Bond chosen 17% | $39k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? | 320-339 14% · 340-359 12% · 280-299 7% | $10k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | 28m-31m 23% · <28m 22% · 40m-43m 13% | $10k |
| Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? | Yes 83% · No 17% | $9k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 65-89 17% · 40-64 7% · 240+ 2% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Sony237 | Yes | $1k |
| Mysaria | Yes | $786.45 |
| MounirHolding | Yes | $705.93 |
| Elonboy | Yes | $606.74 |
| dukies | Yes | $588.47 |
| bilong237 | Yes | $490.44 |
| brahaveatslaha26 | Yes | $439.21 |
| 0xe83c… | Yes | $371.08 |
| flypig-lucky | No | $324.54 |
| Mommy007 | Yes | $320.90 |
| 0xfffa… | No | $300.81 |
| rudal-balistik | Yes | $282.73 |
243 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $9.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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