Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · AK, IA, MI, OH 1% | $3.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $984k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $806k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $719k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $527k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Maxi19 | Down | $98.00 |
| 0x7db9… | Down | $57.50 |
| kevincassa | Down | $39.86 |
| voyager09 | Down | $13.56 |
| G-Penis-Monster | Down | $9.45 |
| aileichan | Down | $9.35 |
| Bobby3033 | Down | $8.50 |
| latencylegend | Down | $8.50 |
| omnibus-00c8ef | Down | $5.98 |
| randombuys | Down | $5.28 |
| Nissim1 | Down | $3 |
| AdamSmith2 | Down | $2.93 |
54 wallets held a position at the close. The 25 biggest winners took $283; the 29 biggest losers gave up $489. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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