Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 40¢) and lost. Volume $2.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · AK, IA, MI, OH 1% | $3.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $984k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $806k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $719k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $527k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| gepolis | Up | $57.67 |
| Polkadot-Frog | Up | $35.44 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $27.94 |
| 0x6738… | Up | $24.80 |
| 0x3ffd… | Up | $18.56 |
| 0xb834… | Up | $18.01 |
| derderderder | Up | $17.74 |
| Veruk3 | Up | $17.74 |
| VeruK2 | Up | $17.43 |
| VeruK4 | Up | $17.04 |
| WikingD2 | Up | $16.91 |
| wikingdusa | Up | $16.91 |
87 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $494; the 25 biggest losers gave up $280. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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