Down won. Smart money backed Up (1 ranked wallet, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $5.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 10% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $4.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Gen.G 96% · LYON 4% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $952k |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) | Gen.G 68% · LYON 32% | $896k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $781k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xb1ca… | Down | $96.16 |
| qjj12345 | Down | $76.08 |
| 0xafe5… | Up | $48.59 |
| soswald1 | Down | $27.89 |
| fg6xh5 | Up | $24.07 |
| 0xfccc… | Down | $18.28 |
| TheWhaleKing | Down | $16.90 |
| Matake | Down | $16.08 |
| 0xca5d… | Down | $14.81 |
| 0x7b7a… | Down | $13.55 |
| shirosinkvein | Down | $13.45 |
| 0xde16… | Down | $12.58 |
123 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $563; the 55 biggest losers gave up $660. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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