Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $4.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? | Yes 45% · No 56% | $608k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 8% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $595k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| microwaveshepard | Up | $126.04 |
| QuantumPebble673 | Up | $17.34 |
| alwayswannawant | Up | $9.17 |
| 196874353278 | Up | $9.06 |
| LesMeGo | Up | $7.81 |
| JaneStreetIran | Up | $6.40 |
| HowRare44 | Up | $5.09 |
| WiseWhite | Up | $4.45 |
| xD89E896873919dd0B783b9f426ccDDA0f874f1F6 | Up | $3.50 |
| tmsd-test | Up | $2.61 |
| 0x15d6… | Up | $2.61 |
| OAsur | Up | $1.96 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $204; the 14 biggest losers gave up $181. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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