Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $54k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 11% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 78% · Pistons 23% | $1.1M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 5% · Celtics 96% | $796k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 80% · Wizards 20% | $726k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| coinman2 | Up | $4k |
| 196874353278 | Up | $490.07 |
| Sxc123.sxc | Down | $214.42 |
| Niseko | Up | $179.12 |
| Tokor | Up | $175.95 |
| ComTruise | Up | $172.53 |
| trader-827e741f | Up | $165.78 |
| vedaresearch.eth | Up | $87.04 |
| LesMeGo | Up | $74.50 |
| Sxc123.sxc | Up | $65.03 |
| 0x0b62… | Up | $29.59 |
| JSMongolia | Up | $27.09 |
103 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $5.6k; the 54 biggest losers gave up $3.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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