No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 88¢). Volume $66k, liquidity $12k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $780k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $237k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $219k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $183k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $166k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nedplimpton | Yes | 586 |
| Sly | Yes | 400 |
| Perypery | Yes | 320 |
| 0x0799…725c | Yes | 264 |
| rocky42013 | Yes | 187 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 182 |
| brainprediction | Yes | 170 |
| 0x2df7…d71b | Yes | 101 |
| hierx | Yes | 100 |
| nenaly | Yes | 90 |
| yevhenry | No | 500 |
| Anon5566 | No | 436 |
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