Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Donald Trump 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.9M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 2% | $863k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $773k |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Heat 70% · Clippers 31% | $478k |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers 84% · Suns 17% | $435k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| YoungAlphaGoat | Yes | $58.30 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | $36 |
| needleladder | Yes | $34.59 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | $28.75 |
| 0x5652… | Yes | $27.09 |
| annont | Yes | $23 |
| 0x3b79… | Yes | $19.79 |
| 0x3a53… | Yes | $18.50 |
| 0xa2b6… | No | $17.30 |
| GrupoM4 | Yes | $16.67 |
| 0x2f54… | Yes | $12 |
| ddd141 | Yes | $12 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $330; the 6 biggest losers gave up $99. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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