Who is the smart money on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 100% · No 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
100%
No
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

No

7 wallets · 362,708 known shares

SaylorMC
entry 9¢ · all-time −$479k · win 31%
ChinaBlock
entry 30¢ · all-time −$64k · win 17%
WING666
entry 8¢ · all-time +$5.5k · win 32%
gotigers
entry 20¢ · all-time −$1.0M · win 57%
0x70ae…31bc
entry 8¢ · all-time +$286 · win —
Jerzy

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?” on Polymarket?: Yes 100% · No 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

live

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No363k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$129k	$2.0M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$26k	$704k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 72% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$21k	$141k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 89% · 25 bps decrease 10%	$10k	$30k
Bank of Canada Decision in December?	No Change 62% · 25 bps increase 39%	$10k	$10k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 94% · No change 6%	$9k	$6k
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?	25 bps increase 40% · 25 bps decrease 16%	$7k	$2k
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes 13% · No 88%	$7k	$2k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
jiggy	Yes	15k	93¢	$14k	$2k
Carol	Yes	5k	91¢	$5k	$3k
Evan69	Yes	4k	91¢	$4k	$2k
TheBestBetter	Yes	1k	91¢	$999.40	$98.84
0x7360…cf74	Yes	903	93¢	$839.72	$19.31
jorgewashington	Yes	455	88¢	$400.00	−$2k
elpin	Yes	300	63¢	$817.99	$167.64
tripper32	Yes	251	80¢	$200	$21.19
mocatothemoon	Yes	239	91¢	$217.86	$37.74
kunderage	Yes	204	49¢	$100.00	$1k
0xa5ef39	No	24.6M			$0
SaylorMC	No	236k	9¢	$22k	−$479k

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$30k
2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$3k
3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
4Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
5Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05