Yes won. Smart money backed No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $1.0M |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb | GNK Dinamo Zagreb 100% · Sunderland AFC 0% | $668k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 22% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $570k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 40% · Heat 61% | $562k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 51% | $546k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| johnsalchichon | Yes | $5.02 |
| erdos-baconator | Yes | $2.17 |
| VanillaOvercoatInspiring | Yes | $2.02 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $1.89 |
| maomao228 | Yes | $0.80 |
| aliiz | No | $0.71 |
| yen4u | Yes | $0.53 |
| xaimo-tai | No | −$1.93 |
| 0x1ef0… | No | −$1.14 |
| before2027 | No | −$0.78 |
| 0x45e6… | No | −$0.60 |
11 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $13; the 4 biggest losers gave up $4. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.