No 80% · Yes 20%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 66¢). Volume $11k, liquidity $43k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $539k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $259k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $192k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $183k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $139k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1k |
| Gl4d | Yes | 600 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 341 |
| GarthBroadmore | Yes | 340 |
| burge146 | Yes | 228 |
| vamnizar | Yes | 161 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 111 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 61 |
| DrChristian | Yes | 60 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 47 |
| justme003 | No | 1k |
| mombil | No | 757 |
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