Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $246k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
aussietoken took +$4.1k on Yes from 49¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.5k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 2% | $41k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 82% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 4% | $12k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 45% · November 11 23% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| aussietoken | Yes | $4k |
| sakuralover | Yes | $3k |
| jestergooning | Yes | $2k |
| luckyshoe | Yes | $1k |
| AnonymousElephant69 | Yes | $417.54 |
| PiMaak | Yes | $385.13 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | $308.81 |
| cedriss | Yes | $287.36 |
| polypotato | Yes | $222.92 |
| AutoOdds | Yes | $192.04 |
| sqaolkytrpo | No | $185.41 |
| KenneyG | Yes | $175.71 |
412 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $15k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $15k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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