Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $153k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
autocurate took +$392 on Yes from 90¢; the biggest loser gave up $379.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 76% · Anthropic 22% · OpenAI 2% | $41k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 83% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $17k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 64% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 4% | $12k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $10k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 10% · 2 2% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $8k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 45% · November 11 23% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| autocurate | Yes | $391.56 |
| mindeirs | Yes | $172.76 |
| mayoshi | Yes | $120.00 |
| 4e2fbc2acf | Yes | $60.33 |
| Aussxx | Yes | $57.95 |
| ZalphaAI | Yes | $36.47 |
| sqaolkytrpo | Yes | $32.29 |
| narua | Yes | $31.58 |
| melonmanm | Yes | $26 |
| qsaws | Yes | $17.35 |
| rahul.daswani | Yes | $16.48 |
| simulacrum3 | Yes | $16.00 |
143 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Tech & Science's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.