No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). Volume $44k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Linslav took +$982 on No from 50¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.0k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 75% · Anthropic 21% · OpenAI 4% | $35k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 81% · November 16–November 22 17% | $20k |
| How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026? | 0 87% · 1 9% · 2 2% | $14k |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 43% · November 11 24% | $7k |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $7k |
| Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November? | Moonshot 35% · Alibaba 24% · Z.ai 20% | $6k |
| GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...? | November 12 26% · No release by November 30 15% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Linslav | No | $981.89 |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | No | $836.07 |
| RIC25 | No | $188.24 |
| kl1v | No | $188.04 |
| Dzibra1998. | No | $173.55 |
| ICTRADING | No | $167.68 |
| 0x3387… | No | $86.80 |
| molodoyy | No | $67.31 |
| eratoxtenex | No | $51.14 |
| KarlikPatrick | No | $32.39 |
| Tulamans | No | $30.84 |
| Masterm1nd | No | $27.14 |
178 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.3k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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