Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Tech & Science · AI · live

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

Yes 61% · No 40%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 79¢). Volume $4.2k, liquidity $323. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
61%
No
40%
Volume
$4.2k
Liquidity
$323

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 189 known shares

KimchiCapital
entry 79¢ · all-time +$41k · win 78%

No

1 wallets · 33 known shares

GuyFromTinder
entry 50¢ · all-time −$100k · win 45%

More AI markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?” on Polymarket?: Yes 61% · No 40%, on $4.2k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 79¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?

live

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at le… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

60.5%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes18985%
No3315%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

AI markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?	Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6%	$53k	$593k
Which company has the best AI model end of November?	Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2%	$36k	$63k
When will Gemini Carbon be released?	November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 2–November 8 8%	$22k	$9k
Gemini Carbon released on...?	November 11 35% · November 10 26% · No release by November 30 9%	$14k	$11k
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$13k	$17k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes 92% · No 9%	$10k	$13k
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$10k	$10k
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes 61% · No 39%	$8k	$5k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 57¢ask 64¢spread 7¢mid 61¢

SizeBid

AskSize

2057¢

64¢25

2253¢

65¢151

1742¢

68¢10

1741¢

72¢46

3040¢

73¢26

4032¢

74¢5

2031¢

75¢75

4030¢

77¢5

2525¢

78¢80

4020¢

84¢30

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE	Yes	204	64¢	$131.00	$3k
KimchiCapital	Yes	189	79¢	$149.67	$41k
superba	Yes	123	59¢	$72.41	−$132.25
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	90			$193k
0x45e6…c078	Yes	25			$2k
gaaaydoggggg	Yes	24	74¢	$17.46	−$4k
AMAM13	Yes	21			−$121k
matgul	Yes	13	74¢	$10.00	−$76.42
Dr.PNL	Yes	10			−$500k
gjloyffkg	Yes	3	62¢	$2	$8.61
0x4025…3644	No	405	20¢	$80.04	$76.02
2B9S	No	95			$97k

Smart-money conviction · AI

Smart-money conviction

1Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?$3k
2Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?$2k
3Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?$658.72
4Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$506.89
5Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?$363.57
6Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?$292.19
7Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$320.96