No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $66k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
188 wallets held a position at the close. The 58 biggest winners took $5.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $58k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 62% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 2% | $35k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 60% · November 16–November 22 16% · November 2–November 8 10% | $22k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 26% · November 11 23% · November 3 11% | $14k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 7% · No 93% | $14k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 41% · November 9–November 15 19% · November 16–November 22 14% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026? | Yes 74% · No 26% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| X-Rabbit.Sezu | No | $3k |
| lisra | No | $2k |
| TREZOR-419 | No | $457.03 |
| perepuk | No | $115.10 |
| ICTRADING | No | $90.00 |
| PaulAtreides | No | $79.41 |
| delphilo | No | $77.81 |
| 0x3606… | No | $57.22 |
| 0xba38… | No | $39.92 |
| calm.rabbit | No | $39.77 |
| reizo | No | $35.56 |
| warptrading | No | $33.39 |