No won. Smart money backed Yes (21 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $7.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 96% · 5°C 1% · 6°C 1% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 6? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 48% · 70-71°F 33% · 74-75°F 12% | $12k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 100% · 4°C 1% · 3°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 71% · 12°C 28% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| god83743894 | No | $66.15 |
| Thermomenal | No | $61.14 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $47.66 |
| Jetlag. | No | $44.80 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $39.87 |
| 0x5f3e… | No | $35.75 |
| FuneralFog | No | $29.99 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $27.10 |
| dobrelya | No | $22.21 |
| zdfhftr | No | $22 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $19.35 |
| Pellepele | No | $19.14 |
120 wallets held a position at the close. The 58 biggest winners took $688; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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