Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$129 on Yes from 41¢; the biggest loser gave up $200.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 15? | 14°C 100% · 17°C or higher 0% · 15°C 0% | $27k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 82% · 26°C 10% · 27°C 0% | $26k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 26°C 0% · 23°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 86% · 19°C 10% · 20°C 0% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 0% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Qingdao on November 15? | 15°C 100% · 16°C 0% · 17°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 99% · 32°C 1% · 31°C 1% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $129 |
| TakeYourTemperature | Yes | $85.78 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $57.13 |
| 2Dro | Yes | $47.95 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $47.09 |
| LoneForestWolf | Yes | $45.70 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $43.70 |
| Tom365 | Yes | $41.01 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $37.54 |
| Mymycrousty67 | Yes | $24.94 |
| 0x973 | Yes | $24.44 |
| 0x58ce… | Yes | $21.43 |
119 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $944; the 50 biggest losers gave up $824. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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