Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $4.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$434 on Yes from 7¢; the biggest loser gave up $120.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 80% · 17°C 17% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 51% · 11°C 33% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 30% · 60-61°F 24% · 56-57°F 16% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 7% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 32% · 13°C 16% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 63% · 20°C 25% · 18°C 13% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $433.95 |
| weather12345 | Yes | $166.31 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $47.03 |
| sswlnl77 | Yes | $45.62 |
| elekhye | Yes | $43.13 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $41.66 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yes | $38.76 |
| Windollar | Yes | $37.44 |
| 0x5fc1… | Yes | $33.80 |
| Niuniujiaoyi2244 | Yes | $33.35 |
| 0x3308… | Yes | $26.05 |
| aze3 | Yes | $25.49 |
135 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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