Yes won. Smart money backed No (12 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $7.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $34k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 3? | 21°C 99% · 23°C 1% · 22°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 99% · 30°C 0% · 29°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 3? | 29°C 65% · 28°C 48% · 30°C 10% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 37% · 76-77°F 20% · 72-73°F 10% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 3? | 11°C 61% · 12°C 36% · 10°C 7% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 3? | 17°C 92% · 18°C 5% · 19°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 3? | 13°C 49% · 12°C 43% · 11°C 2% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| elfoelf | Yes | $199.28 |
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $173.87 |
| OutOfMemory | Yes | $144.97 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $140.11 |
| fildoro | Yes | $75.05 |
| sleeper-service | Yes | $70.84 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $67.13 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $65 |
| yellowhp | Yes | $64.08 |
| Lex-tang | Yes | $61.95 |
| 0x5f3e… | Yes | $34.43 |
| BudgetDegen420 | Yes | $33.42 |
133 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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