No won. Smart money backed Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $4.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 43% · 70-71°F 40% · 68-69°F 11% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 19% · 6°C 9% · 7°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Moscow on November 6? | 2°C 99% · 3°C 1% · 4°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 67% · 13°C 32% · 11°C 14% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 33% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 44% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 13% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $24.90 |
| 0x5f3e… | No | $23.18 |
| dumdumdumdum | No | $8.94 |
| ImBadAtMath | No | $6.60 |
| dobrelya | No | $5.56 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $4.78 |
| RayRay-666 | No | $4.65 |
| huanson | No | $4.41 |
| fregdf12f | No | $3.80 |
| Cyclone. | No | $3.30 |
| Cherryr | No | $2.47 |
| lucikdemon | No | $2.04 |
54 wallets held a position at the close. The 30 biggest winners took $116; the 24 biggest losers gave up $176. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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