No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $4.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 5? | 15°C 99% · 16°C 1% · 17°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Warsaw on November 5? | 10°C 70% · 9°C 18% · 11°C 11% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Istanbul on November 5? | 12°C 96% · 13°C 4% · 14°C 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 5? | 10°C 54% · 11°C 44% · 12°C 3% | $14k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 6? | Yes 48% · No 52% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 5? | 18°C 100% · 19°C 1% | $13k |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 5? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 42% · 14°C 40% · 15°C 8% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Kanonenrohr | No | $186.79 |
| wunderwoman | No | $8.53 |
| 241532532432 | No | $3.91 |
| Cherryr | No | $1.96 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $1.80 |
| danny42069 | No | $1.60 |
| Jeffreyfan | No | $1.25 |
| whhisky | No | $1.20 |
| ghorrock | No | $1.18 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $0.97 |
| Alcaraz2026 | No | $0.81 |
| samalitopshen | Yes | $0.79 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $213; the 17 biggest losers gave up $29. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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