No won. Smart money backed Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $6.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 42% · 13°C 37% · 11°C 8% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 41% · 70-71°F 27% · 74-75°F 13% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 29% · 6°C 6% · 7°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 66% · 84-85°F 29% · 82-83°F 3% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 45% · 27°C 34% · 29°C 13% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 53% · 12°C 48% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| quqqq | No | $261.98 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $135.58 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $105.51 |
| Thermomenal | No | $51.21 |
| 0x567 | No | $29.58 |
| fastestclick | No | $22.96 |
| Windollar | No | $19.36 |
| johncashi | No | $14.80 |
| belsand2 | No | $11.75 |
| Weatherboy2 | No | $11.20 |
| 241532532432 | No | $11.04 |
| K80PRO | No | $10.50 |
88 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $823; the 45 biggest losers gave up $785. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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