No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $6.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
quqqq took +$156 on No from 87¢; the biggest loser gave up $140.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 80% · 17°C 17% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 50% · 11°C 32% · 9°C 17% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 30% · 60-61°F 24% · 55°F or below 13% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 32% · 13°C 16% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 43% · 28°C 7% · 31°C 7% | $7k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 63% · No 38% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| quqqq | No | $156.38 |
| 0x65f7… | No | $98.79 |
| fregdf12f | No | $18.84 |
| twobonclay | No | $15.76 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $14.72 |
| 0x2bfd… | No | $9.81 |
| fabres04 | Yes | $9.50 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $7.69 |
| 0x54e0… | No | $7.68 |
| Beyonder- | No | $7.45 |
| MonoWave | No | $7.05 |
| drorch | No | $6.00 |
98 wallets held a position at the close. The 47 biggest winners took $442; the 51 biggest losers gave up $489. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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