No won. Smart money backed Yes (6 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $3.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 87% · 12°C 26% · 13°C 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 72-73°F 47% · 70-71°F 25% · 68-69°F 16% | $12k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 50% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 18% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 50% · 21°C 22% · 19°C 19% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 60-61°F 48% · 64-65°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ghorrock | No | $16.59 |
| mashuuuu | No | $5.55 |
| whhisky | No | $3.73 |
| dub2-CF | No | $3.12 |
| dami-1 | No | $3.12 |
| 0x2706… | No | $2.40 |
| Eucadet | No | $2.03 |
| zelenjava | No | $1.69 |
| StayFreshCheeseBags | No | $1.21 |
| Cherryr | No | $1.19 |
| supermeow | No | $0.92 |
| aze3 | No | $0.87 |
28 wallets held a position at the close. The 19 biggest winners took $47; the 9 biggest losers gave up $37. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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